Guan Guohui, Wang Xiaojun

【Abstract】

This paper investigates time-consistent reinsurance(excess-of-loss, proportional) and investment strategies for an ambiguity averse insurer(abbr.AAI). The AAI is ambiguous towards the insurance and financial markets. In the AAI’s attitude, the intensity of the insurance claims’ number and the market price of risk of a stock can not be estimated accurately. This formulation of ambiguity is similar to the uncertainty of different equivalent probability measures. The AAI can purchase excess-of-loss or proportional reinsurance to hedge the insurance risk and invest in a financial market with cash and an ambiguous stock. We investigate the optimization goal under smooth ambiguity given in Klibanoff, P., Marinacci, M., & Mukerji, S. [(2005). A smooth model of decision making under ambiguity.Econometrica 73, 1849–1892], which aims to search the optimal strategies under average case. The utility function does not satisfy the Bellman’s principle and we employ the extended HJB equation proposed in Björk, T. & Murgoci, A. [(2014). A theory of Markovian time-inconsistent stochastic control in discrete time. Finance and Stochastics 18(3), 545–592] to solve this problem. In the end ofthis paper,we derivethe equilibrium reinsurance and investment strategies under smooth ambiguity and present the sensitivity analysis to show the AAI’s economic behaviors.

【Keywords】

Excess-of-loss reinsurance, proportional reinsurance, investment, Nash equilibrium, time-consistent strategy, smooth ambiguity